Bobby Mac, Jordan Spieth, and more Valero Texas Open Picks

This is the final “tune-up” before the Masters and the last chance to qualify for the year’s first major. The field itself boasts some significant names at the top, led by Tommy Fleetwood and Ludvig Aberg. They will be joined by Collin Morikawa who is making his first start since having to withdraw from THE PLAYERS Championship after just one hole. His play this week will certainly shape the perception on his chances of winning the Masters.

TPC San Antonio, from a statistical sense, is vastly different from the tournament that we just saw in Houston. With tree lined fairways, there is going to be a premium on accuracy off-the-tee and is often decided on the putting surfaces.

The other consideration is that course history is very strong at TPC San Antonio with plenty of “course horses” that will be let out of the stable this week. We’ll lean on a different type of player than we normally do, with still consideration for plenty of value on the top of the board.

Winner: Robert MacIntyre (+1750)

If you’re betting the outright market, there is only one finishing position that matters – first! Embracing golfers with volatility but upside is generally the recommended strategy. Robert MacIntyre certainly fits that bill. He’s not always at his best, but when he is, he can win any tournament. He has gained at least seven strokes from tee-to-green three times in his last nine starts and he’s beaten the field with his putter in eight straight. Combining those two things produces high end results like his fourth place finish at THE PLAYERS and T4 at the Sony Open.

Top 5: Jordan Spieth (+375)

Spieth has gained +12.401 strokes on approach over his last four starts which has helped translate to three Top-11 finishes. The putter has started to heat up and it feels like Spieth is on the verge of a big week. It couldn’t happen at a better venue than TPC San Antonio where Spieth has dominated in his career. He won here in 2021 and has added four other top-12 finishes in his career.

Top 10: Thorbjorn Olesen (+445)

Olesen snapped his two straight missed cut “streak” with a T14 finish last week in Houston. The stat profile was much similar to his play at the start of the year, led by tremendous ball-striking. He gained nearly six strokes on approach last week and was below average with the putter. He finished T5 here last year while also losing strokes with the flat-stick so there’s plenty of reason to be optimistic about his chances this week.

Top 20: Rico Hoey (+230)

Hoey is one of the best tee-to-green players on the planet but has struggled with consistency in 2026. We are starting to see signs of him rounding into form with three straight cuts made including his T28 last week in Houston. He was one of the best players on TOUR last fall and while we haven’t seen that level of play just yet in 2026, he does seem to be trending in the right direction.

Top 30: Andrew Putnam (+265)

Putnam doesn’t hit it very far off-the-tee, just 272 yards on average. However, he’s constantly playing out of the fairway – more frequently than all but just three of his peers. That skill-set alone becomes incredibly valuable this week then you add in Putnam’s high-end short-game and his ability to catch fire. He’s very dangerous to shoot one of the rounds of the day and he could certainly contend if everything goes right.

Top 40: Bronson Burgoon (+160)

Burgoon has quietly been the most consistent player in professional golf. His last seven events have returned seven finishes between T10 and T16. All but one of those are from the Korn Ferry Tour, but his most recent result was a T10 last week in Houston. He’s a stellar putter who is playing with a lot of confidence right now.